Contents on 24 May '12
- Traffic Report -- two objects
- IAU Minor Planet Center
- NEOCP Activity -- 15 listings
- New MPECs -- two MPECs
- Observers -- nineteen observers
- Impact Risk Monitoring -- four objects
- Chronology
Asteroid/Comet Connection (A/CC) Resources:
- Consolidated Risk Tables - the CRT page (archive)
Of 451 risk-listed objects, 23 have had news in the last 31 days. Updated at 1803 UTC on 24 May.
- Ephemerides for risk-rated & nearby objects + potential mission destinations
- News image catalog
- News old archive & Small Objects Archive
- Object Links - mainly for radar targets & close passers - updated 5 May
- Observing Campaigns
The latest A/CC news is available via framed access,
RSS news feed, or redirection. - Note: A/CC has a main Web site and also a backup site with its own duplicate RSS news feed.
Navigation tips: Use the << and >> arrows on the menus for each regular section (Observers, Risks, etc.) to move to the previous and next day's news for that section. Use the Index menu item to access specific days through a calendar interface. And use the all-up news archive to access news from any time since A/CC began in early 2002. To keep track of what's new each day, watch the Chronology section.
Traffic Report on 24 May '12
Two objects reported inside ten LD
Two visitors are reported traveling inside ten lunar distances (LD) of Earth today. Within Earth's Hill sphere, 2012 KT12 is moving away from 1.46 to 1.79 LD. And 2012 KW is outbound from 5.91 to 7.87 LD.
Next up, newly announced 2012 KP24, a risk-listed intruder, is calculated with some uncertainty to arrive inside ten LD tomorrow, following which no other objects are known to approach this close until November.
This report was updated at 1825 UTC with new discovery 2012 KP24 (MPEC) and, earlier, follow-up in today's DOU MPEC for 2012 KT12. Today's first traffic report was generated at 1305 UTC.
Notes: Ten times the distance to the Moon (ten LD) has no astronomical significance but is a useful reporting boundary. Earth's Hill sphere (of gravitational influence) is estimated to extend out to around 3.89 LD. Object distances are interpreted by A/CC from JPL Horizons data. See also current sky chart and object details (alt-details), ephemerides, and today's timeline.
NEOCP Activity on 24 May '12
The MPC's NEO Confirmation Page has 15 listings
When last checked at 2314 UTC today, the Minor Planet Center's Near Earth Object discovery Confirmation Page (NEOCP) had fifteen objects listed. Of these, eleven were "one nighters." So far The Tracking News has counted a total of 20 listings on the NEOCP today.
To learn how observers use the NEOCP, see the Practical guide on how to observe NEOCP object at Suno Observatory by Birtwhistle et al.
New MPECs on 24 May '12
Minor Planet Electronic Circulars
As of last check at 2314 UTC, there have been two MPECs posted today from the International Astronomical Union's Minor Planet Center in Cambridge, Massachusetts.
- MPEC 2012-K51 time-stamped "06:04 UT" - Daily Orbit Update - see below
- MPEC 2012-K52 time-stamped "16:24 UT" - 2012 KP24
MPEC 2012-K52 - "16:24 UT" - 2012 KP24
- K12K24P 2012 KP24 (risk listed, Earth MOID=0.2 LD, H=26.1 ~20m, close passer) from the Mt. Lemmon Survey (MLS) (May 23.34-36p4, 24.24-27p4 & 24.40p4)
<< DOU on 24 May '12 >> MPEC 2012-K51 - "06:04 UT" - Daily Orbit Update
- Observations of risk-listed objects
- K12K11J 2012 KJ11 (arc=6 days, H=16.7 ~1.55 km) from the Spacewatch 1.8m telescope (May 23.16p3)
- K12J11S 2012 JS11 (Q=4.806 AU, arc=8 days, H=19.8 ~371m) from Astronomical Research Obs. Westfield (May 22.27p3 & 23.26-27p3)
- Observations of recently (no longer) risk-listed objects
- K12K06D 2012 KD6 (small asteroid, arc=4 days, H=23.5 ~68m) from ESA Optical Ground Station (ESA OGS) (May 21.99-01p3) and ARO Westfield (May 23.12-14p7)
- K12K03Y 2012 KY3 (arc=7 days, H=18.6 ~645m) from ARO Westfield (May 23.09-10p3) and Mt. John Obs. (May 23.39p4)
- Observations of close-passing objects
- K12K12T 2012 KT12 (arc=4 days, H=26.3 ~19m) from ARO Westfield (May 23.09-10p8)
- Observation campaigns (radar support, potential mission destinations)
- K07L00E 2007 LE (arc=3 opp, H=19.2 ~490m, radar) from Petit Jean Mtn. South Obs. (PJMSO) (May 23.38p7)
- F3958 153958 2002 AM31 (radar) from PJMSO (May 23.31-32p6)
- E1018 141018 2001 WC47 (PMD) from Kourovskaya Obs. (April 25.81p1, 25.92p1, 26.76p1 & 26.90p1), LINEAR (May 23.15-25p10), and MLS (May 23.15-17p4)
-- Potential mission destinations list & ephemerides + NHATS -- Planetary radar schedules: Arecibo & Goldstone - Observations of small (H>22.0) & smallish (21.7<H<=22.0) asteroids
- K12K11K 2012 KK11 (arc=5 days, H=25.2 ~31m) from Sandlot Obs. (May 24.20-22p3)
- K12K00X 2012 KX (arc=7 days, H=23.3 ~74m) from Walnut Creek Obs. (May 23.20-21p3), ARO Westfield (May 23.31-32p4), and the Catalina Sky Survey (CSS) (May 23.31-34p4)
- K12J11X 2012 JX11 (arc=7 days, H=23.2 ~78m) from ARO Westfield (May 23.37-38p3)
- K12J11H 2012 JH11 (arc=9 days, H=22.2 ~123m) from ARO Westfield (May 23.36-37p3)
- K12J04N 2012 JN4 (arc=11 days, H=23.5 ~68m) from Mt. John Obs. (May 23.41-43p4)
- K12J00Q 2012 JQ (arc=13 days, H=23.2 ~78m) from Robert Holmes via Cerro Tololo Inter-American Obs. (CTIO) (May 22.95-96p4) and Mt. John Obs. (May 23.49-50p4)
- K12H00O 2012 HO (arc=37 days, H=22.7 ~98m) from ARO Westfield (May 23.24-27p3 at V=22.0-22.3)
- K12H00K 2012 HK (arc=37 days, H=23.4 ~71m) from ARO Westfield (May 23.28-31p3 at V=22.2-4)
- K12K11N 2012 KN11 (arc=4 days, H=21.9 ~141m) from Holmes/CTIO (May 23.29-30p2)
- K12C55A 2012 CA55 (arc=101 days, H=21.9 ~141m) from David Tholen's team on Mauna Kea (May 12.62p3 at R=21.9-22.2)
- Observations of other asteroidal objects
- K12K11L 2012 KL11 (arc=4 days, H=21.1 ~204m) from Holmes/CTIO (May 23.09-10p3)
- K12K06C 2012 KC6 (arc=5 days, H=21.7 ~155m) from ARO Westfield (May 23.32-33p3)
- K12K04A 2012 KA4 (q=0.242 AU, arc=6 days, H=21.3 ~186m) from ARO Westfield (May 23.15p3)
- K12J17T 2012 JT17 from ARO Westfield (May 23.19-21p3)
- K12J16B 2012 JB16 (arc=9 days, H=19.6 ~407m) from Walnut Creek Obs. (May 23.23-24p3) and ARO Westfield (May 23.29-30p4)
- K12J04M 2012 JM4 (arc=11 days, H=21.3 ~186m) from Holmes/CTIO (May 22.95-97p4)
- K12H40N 2012 HN40 (Q=4.516 AU, arc=32 days, H=20.3 ~295m) from LINEAR (May 22.22-28p10), Teide Obs. (May 23.04-07p6), and PJMSO (May 23.24-25p6)
- K12H34C 2012 HC34 (i=36.3°, arc=25 days, H=20.1 ~323m) from Mt. John Obs. (May 23.46p2)
- K12H31G 2012 HG31 (arc=39 days, H=18.9 ~562m) from PJMSO (May 23.33p7 & 24.14-16p6)
- K12H20C 2012 HC20 (arc=29 days, H=21.4 ~178m) from Mt. John Obs. (May 23.37p4)
- K12H08N 2012 HN8 (arc=32 days, H=20.8 ~234m) from ARO Westfield (May 23.36-38p3)
- K12H01W 2012 HW1 (i=49.6°, q=0.359 AU, arc=36 days, H=19.8 ~371m) from ARO Westfield (May 23.18-19p3)
- K12H01J 2012 HJ1 (arc=37 days, H=17.8 ~933m) from PJMSO (May 23.24p5)
- K12G11X 2012 GX11 (arc=39 days, H=21.1 ~204m) from PJMSO (May 23.35p6)
- K12F58E 2012 FE58 (arc=65 days, H=20.7 ~245m) from Teide Obs. (May 23.10-15p4)
- K11WD4V 2011 WV134 (Q=4.676 AU, arc=3 opp, H=17.1 ~1.29 km) from PJMSO (May 23.28-29p7) and Starry Wanderer Obs. (May 23.97-99p5)
- K07RE7T 2007 RT147 (arc=2 opp, H=18.0 ~851m) from Pan-STARRS 1 (PS1) (May 21.35-39p7 at w=21.8-22.1)
- K07N04S 2007 NS4 (arc=3 opp, H=19.1 ~513m) from Tholen team/Mauna Kea (May 12.54-55p2 at R=22.7-23.1)
- K06V13Y 2006 VY13 (Q=4.718 AU, arc=2 opp, H=17.2 ~1.23 km) from LINEAR (May 22.28-33p5)
- K05E95Y 2005 EY95 (arc=6 opp, H=20.3 ~295m) from MLS (May 23.30-32p4)
- K05B00C 2005 BC (arc=3 opp, H=17.9 ~891m) from Holmes/CTIO (May 23.40-41p4)
- K04RX1U 2004 RU331 (arc=2 opp, H=20.5 ~269m) from the Spacewatch 0.9m telescope (May 23.37-40p3)
- K04M00D 2004 MD (arc=4 opp, H=20.2 ~309m) from Holmes/CTIO (May 23.40-42p5)
- K03M02T 2003 MT2 (Q=4.121 AU, arc=6 opp, H=16.0 ~2.14 km, q=1.248 AU) from Holmes/CTIO (May 23.42-43p4)
- K02J09Q 2002 JQ9 (arc=4 opp, H=19.2 ~490m) from Holmes/CTIO (May 23.39-41p6)
- J99V06P 1999 VP6 (arc=4 opp, H=19.8 ~371m) from LINEAR (May 22.29-33p4 & 23.26-30p4), Oukaimeden Obs. (May 23.09-12p4), and PJMSO (May 23.36p5)
- J94N00K 1994 NK (arc=2 opp, H=20.0 ~339m) from North Obs. (May 23.10p3) and PJMSO (May 23.29-31p6)
- W6732 326732 2003 HB6 from Spacewatch 0.9m (May 23.21-24p3) and LINEAR (May 23.26-31p5)
- W2966 322966 2002 KF4 from LINEAR (May 23.37-41p5)
- V2473 312473 2008 SX245 from Kourovskaya Obs. (April 25.83p1, 25.91p1, 26.81p1 & 26.91p1)
- T7274 297274 1996 SK from LINEAR (May 22.28-32p5)
- I6822 186822 2004 FE31 from MLS (May 23.20-23p4)
- G2082 162082 1998 HL1 from LINEAR (May 23.27-30p3) and PJMSO (May 24.14p6)
- D7925 137925 2000 BJ19 from Kourovskaya Obs. (April 25.78p1, 26.75p1 & 26.91p1)
- 86667 86667 2000 FO10 from Kourovskaya Obs. (April 25.83p2, 26.81p1 & 26.90p1)
- 24761 24761 Ahau (1993 BW2) from Holmes/CTIO (May 23.40-44p4)
- 06455 6455 1992 HE from LINEAR (May 23.15-19p5)
Observers on 24 May '12
Nineteen observers appear in today's MPECs.
| Code | Observer / observatory |
|---|---|
| H21 | Astronomical Research Obs. Westfield in Illinois, 15 in MPEC 2012-K51 -- 2012 KY3, 2012 KX, 2012 KT12, 2012 KD6, 2012 KC6, 2012 KA4, 2012 JX11, 2012 JT17, 2012 JS11, 2012 JH11, 2012 JB16, 2012 HW1, 2012 HO, 2012 HN8, 2012 HK |
| 703 | Catalina Sky Survey in Arizona, 1 in MPEC 2012-K51 -- 2012 KX |
| 807| | Robert Holmes in Illinois via Cerro Tololo Inter-American Obs. (CTIO) in Chile, 9 in MPEC 2012-K51 -- 2012 KN11, 2012 KL11, 2012 JQ, 2012 JM4, 2005 BC, 2004 MD, 2003 MT2, 2002 JQ9, 24761 |
| J04 | ESA Optical Ground Station in the Canary Islands, 1 in MPEC 2012-K51 -- 2012 KD6 |
| 168 | Kourovskaya Obs. in Russia, 4 in MPEC 2012-K51 -- 86667, 312473, 141018, 137925 |
| 704 | LINEAR in New Mexico, 9 in MPEC 2012-K51 -- 2012 HN40, 2006 VY13, 1999 VP6, 326732, 322966, 297274, 162082, 141018, 6455 |
| 5682 | David Tholen's team on Mauna Kea in Hawaii, 2 in MPEC 2012-K51 -- 2012 CA55, 2007 NS4 |
| 474 | Mt. John Obs. in New Zealand, 5 in MPEC 2012-K51 -- 2012 KY3, 2012 JQ, 2012 JN4, 2012 HC34, 2012 HC20 |
| G96 | Mt. Lemmon Survey (MLS) in Arizona, 4 in MPECs 2012-K51 & 2012-K52 -- 2012 KP24, 2005 EY95, 186822, 141018 |
| J69 | North Obs. in England, 1 in MPEC 2012-K51 -- 1994 NK |
| J43 | Oukaimeden Obs. in Morocco, 1 in MPEC 2012-K51 -- 1999 VP6 |
| F51 | Pan-STARRS 1 in Hawaii, 1 in MPEC 2012-K51 -- 2007 RT147 |
| H45 | Petit Jean Mtn. South Obs. (PJMSO) in Arkansas, 10 in MPEC 2012-K51 -- 2012 HN40, 2012 HJ1, 2012 HG31, 2012 GX11, 2011 WV134, 2007 LE, 1999 VP6, 1994 NK, 162082, 153958 |
| H36 | Sandlot Obs. in Kansas, 1 in MPEC 2012-K51 -- 2012 KK11 |
| 691 | Spacewatch 0.9m telescope in Arizona, 2 in MPEC 2012-K51 -- 2004 RU331, 326732 |
| 291 | Spacewatch 1.8m telescope in Arizona, 1 in MPEC 2012-K51 -- 2012 KJ11 |
| C36 | Starry Wanderer Obs., 1 in MPEC 2012-K51 -- 2011 WV134 |
| 954 | Teide Obs. in the Canary Islands, 2 in MPEC 2012-K51 -- 2012 HN40, 2012 FE58 |
| G56 | Walnut Creek Obs. in northern California, 2 in MPEC 2012-K51 -- 2012 KX, 2012 JB16 |
| For a list of all participating observatories that have Web addresses, see A/CC's Observatory Links page. | |
Impact Risk Monitoring on 24 May '12
| 0000NNN000 Object | Risk Monitor | When Noted UTC | 0000T0000 Year Range | VI # | 000NN00 Prob Cum | T0000 PS Cum | T0000 PS Max | T S | Notes for Today's Latest Risk Assessments |
| 2012 KP24 | JPL Sentry | 1802 | 2031-2049 | 5 | 2.6e-05 | -4.75 | -4.87 | 0 | JPL: "Analysis based on 12 observations spanning 1.0672 days (2012-May-23.33535 to 2012-May-24.40254)." Diameter approximately 0.021 km. from mean, weighted H=26.1. |
| 2012 KN18 | NEODyS | 1302 | 2056-2071 | 4 | 1.37e-08 | -7.65 | -7.92 | 0 | NEODyS: "Based on 15 optical observations (of which 0 are rejected as outliers) from 2012-05-22.304 to 2012-05-23.285." |
| 2012 KJ11 | JPL Sentry | 1302 | R E M O V E D | JPL: Risk listing removed at 0854 UTC. | |||||
| NEODyS | 1302 | R E M O V E D | - | ||||||
| 2012 JS11 | JPL Sentry | 1302 | 2069 | 1 | 2.8e-10 | -7.05 | -7.05 | 0 | JPL: "Analysis based on 37 observations spanning 7.9124 days (2012-May-15.35926 to 2012-May-23.271697)." Diameter approximately 0.360 km. from mean, weighted H=19.9. |
Legend: VI# = VI count, Prob Cum = cumulative probability, PS Cum/Max = cumulative/maximum Palermo Scale, TS = Torino Scale
An impact solution, also known as a "virtual impactor" (VI), is not a prediction but rather a possibility derived from a variant orbit calculation that cannot be eliminated yet based on the existing data. Elimination can come quickly with just a little further observation or may take weeks or months, sometimes years. Once superceded or eliminated, a former impact solution has zero relevance to an object's risk. See Jon Giorgini's "Understanding Risk Pages" to learn more.
Chronology on 24 May '12
Times are UTC for when items were noted or added by The Tracking News.
| 1825 | Updated Traffic Report |
| 1802 | Noted that JPL Sentry has posted 2012 KP24 as an impact risk - see above Grabbed MPEC 2012-K52 - 2012 KP24 - see above |
| 1302 | Noted that JPL Sentry has updated its 2012 JS11 risk assessment - see above Noted that JPL Sentry has removed 2012 KJ11 as an impact risk - see above Noted that NEODyS has removed 2012 KJ11 as an impact risk - see above Noted that NEODyS has posted 2012 KN18 as an impact risk - see above Grabbed MPEC 2012-K51 - Daily Orbit Update - see above |