Contents on 18 January '12
- Traffic Report -- two objects
- Radar Astrometry -- two objects
- IAU Minor Planet Center
- NEOCP Activity -- 21 listings
- New MPECs -- one MPEC
- Observers -- eighteen observers
- Impact Risk Monitoring -- two objects
- Chronology
Resources:
- Consolidated Risk Tables - the CRT page (archive)
Of 423 risk-listed objects, 17 have had news in the last 31 days. Updated at 1706 UTC on 18 Jan.
- Earth's Busy Neighborhood close passer EBN Traffic Report
Two objects are known to be within ten LD of Earth today. Updated at 1828 UTC on 18 Jan. - Ephemerides for risk-rated & nearby objects + potential mission destinations
- News image catalog
- News old archive & Small Objects Archive
- Object Links - mainly for radar targets & close passers - updated 8 Jan.
- Observing Campaigns
The latest A/CC news is available via framed access,
RSS news feed, or redirection. - Note: A/CC has a main Web site and also a backup site with its own duplicate RSS news feed.
Navigation tips: Use the << and >> arrows on the menus for each regular section (Observers, Risks, etc.) to move to the previous and next day's news for that section. Use the Index menu item to access specific days through a calendar interface. And use the all-up news archive to access news from any time since A/CC began in early 2002. To keep track of what's new each day, watch the Chronology section.
Traffic Report on 18 January '12
Two objects reported inside ten LD
Two asteroids are reported flying within ten lunar distances (LD) of Earth today. 2012 AQ10 exits Earth's Hill sphere and radar target 2011 YH40 is outbound from 5.96 to 7.10 LD. Radar target 2011 CP4 arrives inside ten LD on February 22nd.
This report was updated at 2235 UTC with follow-up for departed 2000 YA from radar as well as optical observations in today's DOU MPEC for 2012 AQ10 and 2011 YH40 plus departed 2012 AP10 and previous close passer 207398 2006 AS2. This report was updated earlier at 1819 UTC.
Notes: Ten LD has no astronomical significance but is a useful reporting boundary. Earth's Hill sphere (of gravitational influence) has a radius estimated at about 3.89 LD. Distances are interpreted by A/CC from JPL Horizons data. See also today's timeline plus current additional details, sky chart, and ephemerides.
Radar Astrometry on 18 January '12
Radar observation of two objects
The JPL Solar System Dynamics Group Radar Astrometry database has added or updated the following small-body radar observing work:
Data update noted at 2029 UTC when the database was dated 18 Jan.
- 170502 2003 WM7 from Arecibo (Dec. 13.88 range)
Data update noted at 2209 UTC when the database was dated 18 Jan.
- 2000 YA from Arecibo (Dec. 23.14 range, 27.58 velocity, 27.58 range & 27.62 range) - see links
Photometry is needed for upcoming radar targets and also some astrometry. See Arecibo and Goldstone schedules.
NEOCP Activity on 18 January '12
The MPC's NEO Confirmation Page has 21 listings
When last checked at 2359 UTC today, the Minor Planet Center's Near Earth Object discovery Confirmation Page (NEOCP) had 21 objects listed. Of these, seventeen were "one nighters." So far The Tracking News has counted a total of 24 listings on the NEOCP today.
New MPECs on 18 January '12
Minor Planet Electronic Circulars
As of last check at 2359 UTC, there has been one MPEC posted today from the International Astronomical Union's Minor Planet Center in Cambridge, Massachusetts.
<< DOU on 18 Jan. '12 >> MPEC 2012-B06 - "06:03 UT" - Daily Orbit Update
- Observations of risk-listed objects
- K12A10P 2012 AP10 (small asteroid, arc=7 days, H=26.3 ~19m, close passer) from San Marcello Pistoiese Obs. (Jan. 17.91-92p2) and Sandlot Obs. (Jan. 18.09-12p3)
- K11W02L 2011 WL2 (arc=63 days, H=20.8 ~234m) from the Spacewatch 1.8m telescope (Jan. 18.14-15p3)
- Observations of close-passing objects
- K12A10Q 2012 AQ10 (arc=4 days, H=26.8 ~15m, close passer) from Robert Holmes via Cerro Tololo Inter-American Obs. (CTIO) (Jan. 17.25p4)
- K11Y40H 2011 YH40 (arc=19 days, H=22.9 ~89m, close passer, radar support) from Castelmartini Obs. (Jan. 17.05-06p5) and Holmes/CTIO (Jan. 17.16-17p7)
- K7398 207398 2006 AS2 (close passer) from Herrenberg Obs. (Jan. 16.81-83p3)
- Observation campaigns (radar support, potential mission destinations)
- K02B25F 2002 BF25 (arc=3 opp, H=22.3 ~117m, PMD) from Schiaparelli Obs. (Jan. 9.83-84p2)
- H5706 175706 1996 FG3 (PMD) from LINEAR (Jan. 17.24-28p4)
- E1018 141018 2001 WC47 (PMD, radar) from LINEAR (Jan. 17.42-47p5)
- 29075 29075 1950 DA (radar) from El Guijo Obs. (Jan. 17.97-01p3)
- 00433 433 Eros (1898 DQ) (radar) from LINEAR (Jan. 17.50-53p2)
-- Potential mission destinations list & ephemerides -- Planetary radar schedules: Arecibo & Goldstone - Observations of small asteroids (H>22.0)
- K12A11B 2012 AB11 (arc=3 days, H=22.1 ~129m) from Schiaparelli Obs. (Jan. 16.12-13p3) and Doc Greiner Research Obs. Rancho Hildalgo (DGRO-RH) (Jan. 17.12-13p4)
- K12A03C 2012 AC3 (arc=14 days, H=22.9 ~89m) from Schiaparelli Obs. (Jan. 10.03-05p2) and Walnut Creek Obs. (Jan. 17.21-22p3)
- K12A00Y 2012 AY (arc=15 days, H=22.4 ~112m) from Frasso Sabino Obs. (Jan. 15.87p3) and Castelmartini Obs. (Jan. 17.05p3)
- K11Y63M 2011 YM63 (arc=17 days, H=22.3 ~117m) from LINEAR (Jan. 17.42-47p4) and Spacewatch 1.8m (Jan. 17.52p3)
- Observations of other asteroidal objects
- K12A11A 2012 AA11 (arc=4 days, H=20.1 ~323m) from Schiaparelli Obs. (Jan. 15.96-98p3), Walnut Creek Obs. (Jan. 17.16-19p3), and DGRO-RH (Jan. 18.06p3)
- K12A03D 2012 AD3 (arc=16 days, H=19.6 ~407m) from Mark Trueblood via Kitt Peak Natl. Obs. (KPNO) (Jan. 18.23p4)
- K12A01E 2012 AE1 (arc=17 days, H=18.9 ~562m) from Frasso Sabino Obs. (Jan. 15.92-93p4) and DGRO-RH (Jan. 18.07p5)
- K11Y62U 2011 YU62 (Q=4.771 AU, arc=20 days, H=17.5 ~1.07 km) from Holmes/CTIO (Jan. 17.14-16p6) and DGRO-RH (Jan. 18.16-17p3)
- K11Y62S 2011 YS62 (arc=12 days, H=19.7 ~389m) from Schiaparelli Obs. (Jan. 9.89-91p2)
- K11Y06L 2011 YL6 (arc=25 days, H=21.4 ~178m) from Walnut Creek Obs. (Jan. 17.23-29p4) and DGRO-RH (Jan. 18.09-10p3)
- K11Y06G 2011 YG6 (arc=25 days, H=21.0 ~214m) from Trueblood/KPNO (Jan. 18.20p3)
- K11Y06E 2011 YE6 (Q=4.863 AU, arc=49 days, H=20.8 ~234m) from Spacewatch 1.8m (Jan. 18.10p3)
- K11X03O 2011 XO3 (Q=5.385 AU, arc=46 days, H=16.7 ~1.55 km) from New Millennium Obs. (Jan. 14.79p2)
- K11X01E 2011 XE1 (arc=46 days, H=18.1 ~812m) from DGRO-RH (Jan. 18.20p4)
- K11X00C 2011 XC (arc=2 opp, H=20.9 ~224m) from Schiaparelli Obs. (Jan. 9.94-96p2)
- K11WD4V 2011 WV134 (Q=4.676 AU, arc=2 opp, H=17.1 ~1.29 km) from Walnut Creek Obs. (Jan. 17.13-16p3) and Castelmartini Obs. (Jan. 17.86p3)
- K11W02V 2011 WV2 (arc=62 days, H=20.5 ~269m) from Spacewatch 1.8m (Jan. 18.17-19p3)
- K11W02S 2011 WS2 (i=46.8°, q=0.259 AU, arc=2 opp, H=17.2 ~1.23 km) from Schiaparelli Obs. (Jan. 9.79-81p2)
- K11SA8E 2011 SE108 (arc=114 days, H=21.2 ~195m) from Sandlot Obs. (Jan. 18.16-17p2)
- K11SA2L 2011 SL102 (arc=3 opp, H=18.2 ~776m) from Hamamatsu-Yuto Obs. (Jan. 17.46-52p11)
- K11Q96P 2011 QP96 (Q=4.632 AU, arc=144 days, H=18.9 ~562m) from Spacewatch 1.8m (Jan. 18.11-12p3)
- K10L14N 2010 LN14 (arc=3 opp, H=21.1 ~204m) from Spacewatch 1.8m (Jan. 18.09p2)
- K08W13Z 2008 WZ13 (arc=2 opp, H=18.5 ~676m) from Hamamatsu-Yuto Obs. (Jan. 17.55-58p9)
- K08Q00Y 2008 QY (arc=3 opp, H=18.4 ~708m) from Schiaparelli Obs. (Jan. 10.10-11p3)
- K08A32F 2008 AF32 (arc=2 opp, H=21.0 ~214m) from Schiaparelli Obs. (Jan. 16.18-20p2)
- K05X04M 2005 XM4 (arc=3 opp, H=19.7 ~389m) from Schiaparelli Obs. (Jan. 9.99-01p2)
- K05N01J 2005 NJ1 (arc=5 opp, H=18.5 ~676m) from Schiaparelli Obs. (Jan. 9.77-78p2)
- K04Q17B 2004 QB17 (arc=3 opp, H=18.5 ~676m) from Schiaparelli Obs. (Jan. 9.74-76p3)
- K04P27X 2004 PX27 (arc=3 opp, H=18.4 ~708m) from Schiaparelli Obs. (Jan. 15.99-02p3)
- K03A23F 2003 AF23 (arc=2 opp, H=20.9 ~224m) from Castelmartini Obs. (Jan. 17.91p3)
- J96A02E 1996 AE2 (i=37.4°, arc=2 opp, H=20.2 ~309m) from Castelmartini Obs. (Jan. 17.07p3), LINEAR (Jan. 17.42-47p5), and San Marcello Pistoiese Obs. (Jan. 18.04p3)
- V0842 310842 2003 AK18 from Castelmartini Obs. (Jan. 17.87-88p3)
- K9924 209924 2005 WS55 from Hamamatsu-Yuto Obs. (Jan. 14.38-39p4) and New Millennium Obs. (Jan. 14.78p2)
- F3951 153951 2002 AC3 from Naef Obs. (Jan. 17.92-96p3)
- D7805 137805 1999 YK5 from New Millennium Obs. (Jan. 14.76p2)
- D7084 137084 1998 XS16 from New Millennium Obs. (Jan. 14.77p2)
- D7052 137052 Tjelvar (1998 VO33) from Herrenberg Obs. (Jan. 16.75-76p3)
- 90147 90147 2002 YK14 from New Millennium Obs. (Jan. 14.78p3)
- 42286 42286 2001 TN41 from New Millennium Obs. (Jan. 14.78p2)
- 24475 24475 2000 VN2 from New Millennium Obs. (Jan. 14.79p2)
- 21088 21088 1992 BL2 from LINEAR (Jan. 17.35-40p5)
- 20826 20826 2000 UV13 from New Millennium Obs. (Jan. 14.77p2)
- 10145 10145 1994 CK1 from LINEAR (Jan. 17.29-34p5)
- 07358 7358 Oze (1995 YA3) from LINEAR (Jan. 17.09-14p5)
- 04183 4183 Cuno (1959 LM) from New Millennium Obs. (Jan. 14.77p2) and LINEAR (Jan. 17.09-14p5)
- 03691 3691 Bede (1982 FT) from New Millennium Obs. (Jan. 14.77p2)
- 03200 3200 Phaethon (1983 TB) from New Millennium Obs. (Jan. 14.77-78p2)
- 03103 3103 Eger (1982 BB) from LINEAR (Jan. 17.48-53p5)
- 01943 1943 Anteros (1973 EC) from New Millennium Obs. (Jan. 14.78-79p2)
- 01627 1627 Ivar (1929 SH) from Crni Vrh Obs. (Jan. 16.86-89p4)
Observers on 18 January '12
Eighteen observers appear in today's MPEC.
| Code | Observer / observatory |
|---|---|
| 251 | Arecibo in Puerto Rico, 2 in radar -- 2000 YA, 170502 |
| 160 | Castelmartini Obs. in Italy, 6 in MPEC 2012-B06 -- 2012 AY, 2011 YH40, 2011 WV134, 2003 AF23, 1996 AE2, 310842 |
| 807| | Robert Holmes in Illinois via Cerro Tololo Inter-American Obs. (CTIO) in Chile, 3 in MPEC 2012-B06 -- 2012 AQ10, 2011 YU62, 2011 YH40 |
| 106 | Crni Vrh Obs. in Slovenia, 1 in MPEC 2012-B06 -- 1627 |
| G48 | Doc Greiner Research Obs. Rancho Hildalgo (DGRO-RH) in New Mexico, 6 in MPEC 2012-B06 -- 2012 AE1, 2012 AB11, 2012 AA11, 2011 YU62, 2011 YL6, 2011 XE1 |
| J27 | El Guijo Obs. in Spain, 1 in MPEC 2012-B06 -- 29075 |
| 157 | Frasso Sabino Obs. in Italy, 2 in MPEC 2012-B06 -- 2012 AY, 2012 AE1 |
| 379 | Hamamatsu-Yuto Obs. in Japan, 3 in MPEC 2012-B06 -- 2011 SL102, 2008 WZ13, 209924 |
| 240 | Herrenberg Obs. in Germany, 2 in MPEC 2012-B06 -- 207398, 137052 |
| 695] | Mark Trueblood via Kitt Peak Natl. Obs. (KPNO) in Arizona, 2 in MPEC 2012-B06 -- 2012 AD3, 2011 YG6 |
| 704 | LINEAR in New Mexico, 10 in MPEC 2012-B06 -- 2011 YM63, 1996 AE2, 21088, 175706, 141018, 10145, 7358, 4183, 3103, 433 |
| A13 | Naef Obs. in Switzerland, 1 in MPEC 2012-B06 -- 153951 |
| A24 | New Millennium Obs. in Italy, 12 in MPEC 2012-B06 -- 2011 XO3, 90147, 42286, 24475, 209924, 20826, 137805, 137084, 4183, 3691, 3200, 1943 |
| 104 | San Marcello Pistoiese Obs. in Italy, 2 in MPEC 2012-B06 -- 2012 AP10, 1996 AE2 |
| H36 | Sandlot Obs. in Kansas, 2 in MPEC 2012-B06 -- 2012 AP10, 2011 SE108 |
| 204 | Schiaparelli Obs. in Italy, 13 in MPEC 2012-B06 -- 2012 AC3, 2012 AB11, 2012 AA11, 2011 YS62, 2011 XC, 2011 WS2, 2008 QY, 2008 AF32, 2005 XM4, 2005 NJ1, 2004 QB17, 2004 PX27, 2002 BF25 |
| 291 | Spacewatch 1.8m telescope in Arizona, 6 in MPEC 2012-B06 -- 2011 YM63, 2011 YE6, 2011 WV2, 2011 WL2, 2011 QP96, 2010 LN14 |
| G56 | Walnut Creek Obs. in northern California, 4 in MPEC 2012-B06 -- 2012 AC3, 2012 AA11, 2011 YL6, 2011 WV134 |
| For a list of all participating observatories that have Web addresses, see A/CC's Observatory Links page. | |
Impact Risk Monitoring on 18 January '12
| 0000NNN000 Object | Risk Monitor | When Noted UTC | 0000T0000 Year Range | VI # | 000NN00 Prob Cum | T0000 PS Cum | T0000 PS Max | T S | Notes for Today's Latest Risk Assessments |
| 2012 AP10 | JPL Sentry | 1705 | 2069-2111 | 84 | 1.1e-04 | -4.99 | -5.87 | 0 | JPL: "Analysis based on 50 observations spanning 7.0385 days (2012-Jan-11.08359 to 2012-Jan-18.122127)." Diameter approximately 0.019 km. from mean, weighted H=26.3. |
| NEODyS | 1705 | 2064-2089 | 54 | 7.43e-05 | -5.08 | -5.68 | 0 | NEODyS: "Based on 50 optical observations (of which 2 are rejected as outliers) from 2012-01-11.084 to 2012-01-18.123." | |
| 2011 WL2 | JPL Sentry | 1705 | 2098-2110 | 2 | 6.4e-07 | -4.39 | -4.39 | 0 | JPL: "Analysis based on 195 observations spanning 62.827 days (2011-Nov-16.31883 to 2012-Jan-18.14564)." Diameter approximately 0.240 km. from mean, weighted H=20.7. |
Legend: VI# = VI count, Prob Cum = cumulative probability, PS Cum/Max = cumulative/maximum Palermo Scale, TS = Torino Scale
An impact solution, also known as a "virtual impactor" (VI), is not a prediction but rather a possibility derived from a variant orbit calculation that cannot be eliminated yet based on the existing data. Elimination can come quickly with just a little further observation or may take weeks or months, sometimes years. Once superceded or eliminated, a former impact solution has zero relevance to an object's risk. See Jon Giorgini's "Understanding Risk Pages" to learn more.
Chronology on 18 January '12
Times are UTC for when items were noted or added by The Tracking News.
| 2235 | Updated Traffic Report |
| 2209 | Noted Radar Astrometry database update - see above |
| 2029 | Noted Radar Astrometry database update - see above |
| 1705 | Noted that JPL Sentry has updated its 2011 WL2 risk assessment - see above Noted that JPL Sentry has updated its 2012 AP10 risk assessment - see above Noted that NEODyS has updated its 2012 AP10 risk assessment - see above Grabbed MPEC 2012-B06 - Daily Orbit Update - see above |
| 0400 | Noted that the NEOCP has become active |