On January 2nd (Pacific Time) the NASA/JPL NEO Program Office reported that Magdalena Ridge "observations for asteroid 2007 WD5 taken on December 29 through January 2 have been used to improve the accuracy of the asteroid's orbit ... causing the Mars impact probability to decrease slightly to 3.6% (about one chance in 28)." See the DOU MPECs for January 1st and today plus earlier news links here and here. This NASA/JPL illustration of positional possibilities is from Dec. 21st.
Contents on 3 January '08
- IAU Minor Planet Center
- NEOCP Activity -- four listings: 1 new, 3 updated
- New MPECs -- two MPECs
- Observers -- 36 observing facilities
- Impact Risk Monitoring -- five objects
- Chronology
Resources:
- Consolidated Risk Tables - the CRT page
- Earth's Busy Neighborhood Traffic Report
- Ephemerides for risk-rated and nearby objects
- Old & new CRT Archive
- Old News Archive & Small Objects Archive
The latest A/CC news is available via framed access,
RSS news feed, or redirection. - Note: A/CC has a main Web site and also a backup site with its own duplicate RSS news feed.
Navigation tips: Use the << and >> arrows on the menus for each regular section (Observers, Risks, etc.) to move to the previous and next day's news for that section. Use the Index menu item to access specific days this year through a calendar interface. And use the all-up news archive to access news from any time since A/CC began in early 2002. To keep track of what's new each day, watch the Chronology section.
NEOCP Activity on 3 January '08
The MPC's NEO Confirmation Page has 4 listings: 1 new, 3 updated
When last checked at 2354 UTC today, the Minor Planet Center's NEO discovery Confirmation Page (NEOCP) had one new and three updated listings. Of these, two were "one nighters."
To learn how observers use the NEOCP, see the Practical guide on how to observe NEOCP object by Birtwhistle et al. at Suno Observatory.
New MPECs on 3 January '08
Minor Planet Electronic Circulars
As of last check at 2354 UTC, there have been two MPECs issued today from the International Astronomical Union's Minor Planet Center in Cambridge, Massachusetts.
- MPEC 2008-A20 time-stamped "07:08 UT" - Daily Orbit Update - see below
- MPEC 2008-A21 time-stamped "19:59 UT" - Comet 8P/TUTTLE
MPEC 2008-A21 - "19:59 UT" - Comet 8P/TUTTLE
- 0008P 8P/Tuttle (i=55.0°, q=1.027 AU, Q=10.376 AU, TP=2008 Jan. 27.02282 TT) from Geisei Obs. (Dec. 6.44p1, 7.41-42p2, 14.40p1 & 30.41p3), Sabadell Obs. (Dec. 27.77p3), Lumezzane Obs. (Dec. 29.77p4), Green Island Obs. (Dec. 30.72-75p2), La Murta Obs. (Dec. 30.79-80p3), Santa Pola Obs. (Dec. 30.81p3), La Vara Obs. (Dec. 30.89p3 & Jan. 2.81p3), Mataro Obs. (Dec. 30.91-95p3), Monte Deva Obs. (Dec. 30.92p5), Suno Obs. (Dec. 31.02p3), CAST Obs. (Dec. 31.72p1 & Jan. 1.80p1), Chante-Perdrix Obs. (Dec. 31.73-74p3 & Jan. 1.75-76p3), San Vito Obs. (Dec. 31.74-75p3), Malaga Obs. (Dec. 31.82-83p3), Desert Moon Obs. (Jan. 1.22-24p5), Montcabre Obs. (Jan. 1.74p3), Carmelita Obs. (Jan. 1.75p3), Atlante Obs. (Jan. 1.93-94p3 & 2.86-87p3), Petit Jean Mtn. South Obs. (PJMSO) (Jan. 2.11-12p8 & 3.12-13p8), Hiratsuka Obs. (Jan. 2.51p3), Vitebsk Obs. (Jan. 2.74-75p5), Great Shefford Obs. (Jan. 2.76p3), Montana Blanca Obs. (Jan. 2.82p4), Remanzacco Obs. (Jan. 2.86p2), Nazaret Obs. (Jan. 2.90-91p3), and Greiner Research Obs. (Jan. 3.10p5)
<< DOU on 3 Jan. '08 >> MPEC 2008-A20 - "07:08 UT" - Daily Orbit Update
- Observations of risk-listed objects
- K07Y56S 2007 YS56 (small asteroid, arc=3 days, H=25.7 ~25m) from Gnosca Obs. (Dec. 31.87-88p2) and the Spacewatch 1.8m telescope (Jan. 3.11-12p3)
- Observations of recently (no longer) risk-listed objects
- K07Y29V 2007 YV29 (arc=6 days, H=18.8 ~589m) from Greiner Research Obs. (Jan. 3.13-14p9)
- K07Y00Z 2007 YZ (arc=16 days, H=19.7 ~389m) from Hamamatsu-Yuto Obs. (Jan. 2.51-52p4 & 2.65p3), Atlante Obs. (Jan. 2.99-01p3), and Greiner Research Obs. (Jan. 3.08p10)
- Observations of small asteroids (H>22.0)
- K07W05D 2007 WD5 (Q=4.074 AU, arc=55 days, H=24.3 ~47m) from Magdalena Ridge Obs. (MRO) (Jan. 2.28p1 at R=23.4 & 2.33p1 at R=23.6)
- Observations of other objects
- K08A00D 2008 AD (arc=2 days, H=20.2 ~309m) from Andrushivka Obs. (Jan. 2.74-75p5) and Greiner Research Obs. (Jan. 3.14-16p7)
- K07Y01F 2007 YF1 (Q=4.002 AU, arc=15 days, H=18.6 ~645m) from Lulin Minor Bodies Tracking (LIMIT) (Dec. 31.71-73p3)
- K07Y00K 2007 YK (arc=17 days, H=17.5 ~1.07 km) from PJMSO (Jan. 2.48-49p6)
- K07X16H 2007 XH16 (arc=25 days, H=19.7 ~389m) from Greiner Research Obs. (Jan. 2.00-01p9)
- K07V07Y 2007 VY7 (arc=2 opp, H=19.6 ~407m) from the Siding Spring Survey (SSS) (Dec. 14.44p2)
- K07V06T 2007 VT6 (arc=41 days, H=20.3 ~295m) from SSS (Dec. 14.45p1)
- K07V04Q 2007 VQ4 (arc=3 opp, H=15.8 ~2.34 km, q=1.271 AU) from PJMSO (Jan. 2.45-47p7) and Greiner Research Obs. (Jan. 3.11-12p9)
- K07P11U 2007 PU11 (Q=4.384 AU, arc=3 opp, H=16.3 ~1.86 km) from PJMSO (Jan. 2.09p5)
- K06UL6S 2006 US216 (IEO, q=0.278 AU, Q=0.995 AU, arc=3 opp, H=19.8 ~371m) from SSS (Dec. 14.44-45p2)
- K06B00G 2006 BG (arc=3 opp, H=18.6 ~645m) from the Spacewatch 0.9m telescope (Dec. 30.24-27p3)
- K06A00D 2006 AD (i=55.0°, arc=3 opp, H=16.7 ~1.55 km) from SSS (Dec. 31.53p1)
- K05X08K 2005 XK8 (arc=2 opp, H=19.8 ~371m) from PJMSO (Jan. 2.04p6)
- K05X01D 2005 XD1 (arc=2 opp, H=19.3 ~467m) from PJMSO (Jan. 2.10p6) and Greiner Research Obs. (Jan. 3.01-03p9)
- K05W56J 2005 WJ56 (arc=3 opp, H=17.9 ~891m) from PJMSO (Jan. 2.42-43p6) and Greiner Research Obs. (Jan. 3.11p10)
- K05W04K 2005 WK4 (arc=3 opp, H=20.2 ~309m) from the Catalina Sky Survey (CSS) (Jan. 3.09-10p4)
- K05T45U 2005 TU45 (arc=3 opp, H=17.0 ~1.35 km) from PJMSO (Jan. 2.41-42p5) and Greiner Research Obs. (Jan. 3.21-23p9)
- K04X60Y 2004 XY60 (q=0.130 AU, arc=3 opp, H=19.0 ~537m) from SSS (Dec. 14.51p2)
- K03B84H 2003 BH84 (arc=2 opp, H=16.9 ~1.41 km) from Timberlake Obs. (Jan. 1.09-12p3), PJMSO (Jan. 2.08-09p6), and CSS (Jan. 3.18-20p4)
- K00C59H 2000 CH59 (arc=3 opp, H=19.8 ~371m) from PJMSO (Jan. 2.44p5)
- H0891 170891 2004 TY16 from Hamamatsu-Yuto Obs. (Jan. 2.67-69p9)
- F4347 154347 2002 XK4 from PJMSO (Jan. 2.49p5)
- F3591 153591 2001 SN263 from PJMSO (Jan. 2.05-07p5)
- E4411 144411 2004 EW9 from Spacewatch 0.9m (Dec. 28.24-28p3 & 30.11-16p3)
- 96189 96189 1991 NT3 from PJMSO (Jan. 2.45p5)
- 66407 66407 1999 LQ28 from PJMSO (Jan. 2.47-48p5)
- 25916 25916 2001 CP44 from Spacewatch 0.9m (Dec. 30.18-21p3)
- 09172 9172 Abhramu (1989 OB) from Spacewatch 0.9m (Dec. 28.41-45p3)
- 07839 7839 1994 ND from Spacewatch 0.9m (Dec. 28.30-32p2)
- 01862 1862 Apollo (1932 HA) from Atlante Obs. (Jan. 3.07-09p3)
Observers on 3 January '08
A total of 36 observing facilities appear in today's MPECs.
| Code | Observer / observatory |
|---|---|
| A50 | Andrushivka Obs. in the Ukraine, 1 in MPEC 2008-A20 -- 2008 AD |
| J51 | Atlante Obs. in the Canary Islands, 3 in MPECs 2008-A20 & 2008-A21 -- 2007 YZ, 1862, 8P |
| 235 | CAST Obs. in Italy, 1 in MPEC 2008-A21 -- 8P |
| B20 | Carmelita Obs. in Spain, 1 in MPEC 2008-A21 -- 8P |
| 703 | Catalina Sky Survey (CSS) in Arizona, 2 in MPEC 2008-A20 -- 2005 WK4, 2003 BH84 |
| A77 | Chante-Perdrix Obs. in France, 1 in MPEC 2008-A21 -- 8P |
| 448 | Desert Moon Obs. in New Mexico, 1 in MPEC 2008-A21 -- 8P |
| 372 | Geisei Obs. in Japan, 1 in MPEC 2008-A21 -- 8P |
| 143 | Gnosca Obs. in Switzerland, 1 in MPEC 2008-A20 -- 2007 YS56 |
| J95 | Great Shefford Obs. in England, 1 in MPEC 2008-A21 -- 8P |
| B34 | Green Island Obs. in Cyprus, 1 in MPEC 2008-A21 -- 8P |
| H51 | Greiner Research Obs. in Wisconsin, 9 in MPECs 2008-A20 & 2008-A21 -- 2008 AD, 2007 YZ, 2007 YV29, 2007 XH16, 2007 VQ4, 2005 XD1, 2005 WJ56, 2005 TU45, 8P |
| 379 | Hamamatsu-Yuto Obs. in Japan, 2 in MPEC 2008-A20 -- 2007 YZ, 170891 |
| D88 | Hiratsuka Obs., 1 in MPEC 2008-A21 -- 8P |
| J76 | La Murta Obs. in Spain, 1 in MPEC 2008-A21 -- 8P |
| J38 | La Vara Obs. in Spain, 1 in MPEC 2008-A21 -- 8P |
| D35 | Lulin Minor Bodies Tracking in Taiwan, 1 in MPEC 2008-A20 -- 2007 YF1 |
| 130 | Lumezzane Obs. in Italy, 1 in MPEC 2008-A21 -- 8P |
| H01 | Magdalena Ridge Obs. in New Mexico, 1 in MPEC 2008-A20 -- 2007 WD5 |
| J40 | Malaga Obs. in Spain, 1 in MPEC 2008-A21 -- 8P |
| A06 | Mataro Obs. in Spain, 1 in MPEC 2008-A21 -- 8P |
| J46 | Montana Blanca Obs. in the Canary Islands, 1 in MPEC 2008-A21 -- 8P |
| 213 | Montcabre Obs. in Spain, 1 in MPEC 2008-A21 -- 8P |
| 945 | Monte Deva Obs. in Spain, 1 in MPEC 2008-A21 -- 8P |
| J47 | Nazaret Obs. in Spain, 1 in MPEC 2008-A21 -- 8P |
| H45 | Petit Jean Mtn. South Obs. (PJMSO) in Arkansas, 14 in MPECs 2008-A20 & 2008-A21 -- 2007 YK, 2007 VQ4, 2007 PU11, 2005 XK8, 2005 XD1, 2005 WJ56, 2005 TU45, 2003 BH84, 2000 CH59, 96189, 66407, 154347, 153591, 8P |
| 473 | Remanzacco Obs. in Italy, 1 in MPEC 2008-A21 -- 8P |
| 619 | Sabadell Obs. in Spain, 1 in MPEC 2008-A21 -- 8P |
| 233 | San Vito Obs. in Italy, 1 in MPEC 2008-A21 -- 8P |
| J49 | Santa Pola Obs. in Spain, 1 in MPEC 2008-A21 -- 8P |
| E12 | Siding Spring Survey (SSS) in New South Wales, 5 in MPEC 2008-A20 -- 2007 VY7, 2007 VT6, 2006 US216, 2006 AD, 2004 XY60 |
| 691 | Spacewatch 0.9m telescope in Arizona, 5 in MPEC 2008-A20 -- 2006 BG, 25916, 144411, 9172, 7839 |
| 291 | Spacewatch 1.8m telescope in Arizona, 1 in MPEC 2008-A20 -- 2007 YS56 |
| 147 | Suno Obs. in Italy, 1 in MPEC 2008-A21 -- 8P |
| H83 | Timberlake Obs. in Virginia, 1 in MPEC 2008-A20 -- 2003 BH84 |
| B42 | Vitebsk Obs. in Belarus, 1 in MPEC 2008-A21 -- 8P |
Impact Risk Monitoring on 3 January '08
| 0000NNN000 Object | Risk Monitor | When Noted UTC | 0000T0000 Year Range | VI # | 000NN00 Prob Cum | T0000 PS Cum | T0000 PS Max | T S | Notes for Today's Latest Risk Assessments |
| 2008 AE | NEODyS | 1418 | 2016-2087 | 27 | 2.1e-08 | -4.77 | -5.01 | 0 | NEODyS: "Based on 12 optical observations (of which 0 are rejected as outliers) from 2008/01/01.432 to 2008/01/02.121." |
| 2007 YV56 | NEODyS | 1418 | 2089 | 1 | 1.61e-08 | -5.82 | -5.82 | 0 | NEODyS: "Based on 31 optical observations (of which 0 are rejected as outliers) from 2007/12/31.516 to 2008/01/02.230." |
| 2007 YS56 | JPL Sentry | 1418 | 2084-2095 | 3 | 3.2e-08 | -8.08 | -8.09 | 0 | JPL: "Analysis based on 25 observations spanning 2.8730 days (2007-Dec-31.24562 to 2008-Jan-03.11859)." Diameter approximately 0.025 km. from mean, weighted H=25.6. |
| 2007 YQ56 | NEODyS | 1418 | 2020-2089 | 53 | 5.58e-07 | -3.50 | -4.43 | 0 | NEODyS: "Based on 42 optical observations (of which 0 are rejected as outliers) from 2007/12/31.146 to 2008/01/01.730." |
| JPL Sentry | 0338 | 2020-2107 | 213 | 1.0e-06 | -3.31 | -4.32 | 0 | JPL: "Analysis based on 42 observations spanning 1.5837 days (2007-Dec-31.14551 to 2008-Jan-01.72926)." Diameter approximately 0.365 km. from mean, weighted H=19.8. | |
| 2007 YG1 | JPL Sentry | 0029 | R E M O V E D | JPL: Risk listing removed at 0004 UTC. | |||||
Legend: VI# = VI count, Prob Cum = cumulative probability, PS Cum/Max = cumulative/maximum Palermo Scale, TS = Torino Scale
An impact solution, also known as a "virtual impactor" (VI), is not a prediction but rather a possibility derived from a variant orbit calculation that cannot be eliminated yet based on the existing data. Elimination can come quickly with just a little further observation or may take weeks or months, sometimes years. Once superceded or eliminated, a former impact solution has zero relevance to an object's risk. See Jon Giorgini's "Understanding Risk Pages" to learn more.
Chronology on 3 January '08
Times are UTC for when items were noted or added by The Tracking News.
| 2015 | Grabbed MPEC 2008-A21 - Comet 8P/TUTTLE - see above |
| 1418 | Noted that NEODyS has posted 2007 YQ56 as an impact risk - see above Noted that JPL Sentry has updated its 2007 YS56 risk assessment - see above Noted that NEODyS has posted 2007 YV56 as an impact risk - see above Noted that NEODyS has posted 2008 AE as an impact risk - see above Grabbed MPEC 2008-A20 - Daily Orbit Update - see above |
| 0338 | Noted that JPL Sentry has posted 2007 YQ56 as an impact risk - see above |
| 0029 | Noted that JPL Sentry has removed 2007 YG1 as an impact risk - see above |