A/CC's Consolidated Risk Tables

Earth Impact Risk Ratings Posted in the Last 31 Days

Compiled at 1449 UTC on 3 July 2009

[ The Tracking News | ephemerides | cleared ]

Missing something? Check the archives for objects not under active observation or recent analysis.

Note that the time horizon for JPL is 100 years from today and for NEODyS is usually the year 2090, plus (since 22 Jan. 2009) a few special objects with impact solutions beyond 100 years.
For the latest official risk assessments, and for explanations of terminology and methodology, see the JPL NEO Program Sentry and NEODyS CLOMON (backup) risk pages.
0000NNN000

Object

Risk
Monitor
A/CC Noted
 Time & Day 
UTC
0000T0000
Year
Range

VI
#
000NN00
Prob
Cum
T0000
PS
Cum
T0000
PS
Max

T
S


Notes for Latest Risk Assessments
2009 MB9NEODyS1401 July 22030-2086133.46e-08-3.97-4.120Based on 11 optical observations (of which 0 are rejected as outliers) from 2009/06/29.473 to 2009/07/01.441.
JPL Sentry1400 July 22030-210571.2e-07-3.91-4.250Analysis based on 11 observations spanning 1.9681 days (2009-Jun-29.47208 to 2009-Jul-01.44019). Diameter approximately 0.668 km. from mean, weighted H=18.5.
Assessment postings were noted by A/CC on 30 June, 1 July & 2 July   -   References: MPECs 2009-M56 & 2009-N05
2009 MG1NEODyS1734 June 252079-208333.38e-07-5.99-6.230Based on 18 optical observations (of which 0 are rejected as outliers) from 2009/06/21.273 to 2009/06/24.203.
JPL Sentry1734 June 252079-208333.7e-07-5.96-6.210Analysis based on 18 observations spanning 2.9300 days (2009-Jun-21.27223 to 2009-Jun-24.20218). Diameter approximately 0.053 km. from mean, weighted H=24.0.
Assessment postings were noted by A/CC on 23 June, 24 June & 25 June   -   References: MPECs 2009-M29, 2009-M31 & 2009-M35
2009 MUJPL Sentry1734 June 25209612.5e-07-6.58-6.580Analysis based on 88 observations spanning 4.8184 days (2009-Jun-19.30659 to 2009-Jun-24.12497). Diameter approximately 0.042 km. from mean, weighted H=24.5.
Assessment postings were noted by A/CC on 22 June, 23 June, 24 June & 25 June   -   References: MPECs 2009-M19, 2009-M22, 2009-M31 & 2009-M35
2009 HCJPL Sentry1333 June 42095-209921.2e-06-6.26-6.280Analysis based on 148 observations spanning 44.903 days (2009-Apr-17.23164 to 2009-Jun-01.13477). Diameter approximately 0.038 km. from mean, weighted H=24.8.
An assessment posting was noted by A/CC on 4 June   -   References: MPEC 2009-L19
2008 AO112JPL Sentry0336 June 262010-2099451.5e-07-4.30-4.620Analysis based on 8 observations spanning 1.0097 days (2008-Jan-11.08899 to 2008-Jan-12.098698). Diameter approximately 0.310 km. from mean, weighted H=20.2.
An assessment posting was noted by A/CC on 26 June   -   References: no recent MPECs
C   L   E   A   R   E   D
2009 NAJPL Sentry1442 July 3R E M O V E DRisk listing removed at 0845 UTC 3 July
Assessment postings were noted by A/CC on 2 July & 3 July   -   References: MPECs 2009-N06 & 2009-N08
2009 MN8JPL Sentry1344 June 30R E M O V E DRisk listing removed at 0849 UTC 30 June
Assessment postings were noted by A/CC on 29 June & 30 June   -   References: MPECs 2009-M48, 2009-M53, 2009-N05 & 2009-N08
2009 MSJPL Sentry1734 June 25R E M O V E DRisk listing removed at 1650 UTC 25 June
NEODyS1330 June 24R E M O V E D
Assessment postings were noted by A/CC on 23 June, 24 June & 25 June   -   References: MPECs 2009-M18, 2009-M31 & 2009-M35
2009 LW2JPL Sentry1400 June 19R E M O V E DRisk listing removed at 0851 UTC 19 June
NEODyS1400 June 19R E M O V E D
Assessment postings were noted by A/CC on 16 June, 17 June, 18 June & 19 June   -   References: MPECs 2009-M04, 2009-M11, 2009-M14, 2009-M15, 2009-M17, 2009-M22, 2009-M35 & 2009-N02
2009 LU2NEODyS1442 July 3R E M O V E D
JPL Sentry2121 July 2R E M O V E DRisk listing removed at 2052 UTC 2 July
Assessment postings were noted by A/CC on 17 June, 28 June, 30 June, 1 July, 2 July & 3 July   -   References: MPECs 2009-M02, 2009-M44 & 2009-N08
2009 LQ1JPL Sentry1419 June 17R E M O V E DRisk listing removed at 0848 UTC 17 June
NEODyS1419 June 17R E M O V E D
Assessment postings were noted by A/CC on 15 June, 16 June & 17 June   -   References: MPECs 2009-L47, 2009-M07 & 2009-M14
2009 LXNEODyS1401 June 18R E M O V E D
JPL Sentry1401 June 18R E M O V E DRisk listing removed at 0849 UTC 18 June
Assessment postings were noted by A/CC on 13 June, 14 June, 16 June & 18 June   -   References: MPECs 2009-L44, 2009-M01, 2009-M11, 2009-M31 & 2009-M35
2009 LSNEODyS1330 June 16R E M O V E D
JPL Sentry1330 June 16R E M O V E DRisk listing removed at 0851 UTC 16 June
Assessment postings were noted by A/CC on 13 June, 14 June, 15 June & 16 June   -   References: MPECs 2009-L42, 2009-L45, 2009-L46, 2009-M01, 2009-M07, 2009-M11, 2009-M14, 2009-M15, 2009-M17, 2009-M22, 2009-M31, 2009-M46 & 2009-N05
2009 KT21NEODyS1525 June 13R E M O V E D
JPL Sentry1525 June 13R E M O V E DRisk listing removed at 0848 UTC 13 June
Assessment postings were noted by A/CC on 2 June & 13 June   -   References: MPECs 2009-L43, 2009-M15 & 2009-M35
2009 KK8NEODyS1606 June 20R E M O V E D
JPL Sentry1606 June 20R E M O V E DRisk listing removed at 0849 UTC 20 June
Assessment postings were noted by A/CC on 7 June, 14 June & 20 June   -   References: MPECs 2009-L23, 2009-L45, 2009-M15 & 2009-M35
2009 KN4NEODyS1330 June 16R E M O V E D
JPL Sentry1330 June 16R E M O V E DRisk listing removed at 0850 UTC 16 June
Assessment postings were noted by A/CC on 16 June   -   References: MPECs 2009-M01, 2009-M11, 2009-M31, 2009-M35 & 2009-M46
2009 KMJPL Sentry1327 June 2R E M O V E DRisk listing removed at 0852 UTC 2 June
An assessment posting was noted by A/CC on 2 June   -   References: MPEC 2009-L06
2009 KKJPL Sentry1419 June 17R E M O V E DRisk listing removed at 0852 UTC 17 June
NEODyS1419 June 17R E M O V E D
Assessment postings were noted by A/CC on 2 June, 3 June, 6 June, 9 June, 10 June & 17 June   -   References: MPECs 2009-L06, 2009-L07, 2009-L22, 2009-L31, 2009-L32, 2009-M07 & 2009-M11
2008 ER7NEODyS1400 July 2R E M O V E D
JPL Sentry1400 July 2R E M O V E DRisk listing removed at 0856 UTC 2 July
Assessment postings were noted by A/CC on 2 July   -   References: MPEC 2009-N05

Legend: VI# = VI count, Prob Cum = cumulative probability, PS Cum/Max = cumulative/maximum Palermo Scale, TS = Torino Scale

For a list of risk-rated objects currently under observation, see our ephemerides page.

An impact solution, also known as a "virtual impactor" (VI), is not a prediction but rather a possibility derived from a variant orbit calculation that cannot be eliminated yet based on the existing data. Elimination can come quickly with just a little further observation or may take weeks or months, sometimes years. Once superceded or eliminated, a former impact solution has zero relevance to an object's risk. See Jon Giorgini's "Understanding Risk Pages" for more information.


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